Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio da Serrinha

Goias
2 - 3
Fluminense

Raul (44'), Nicolas (80')
Maguinho (85'), Junior (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arias (28'), Cano (84'), Willian (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Goias and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense have enjoyed a solid campaign so far and head into Wednesday unbeaten in their last eight outings. The Fluzao completed the league double over the hosts last term and we are backing them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Fluminense
27.17% ( 0.5)	28.16% ( -0.58)	44.68% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.61% (

1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.09% (

2.11)

60.91% (

-2.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.07% (

1.55)

80.92% (

-1.55)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28% (

1.62)

38.72% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54% (

1.5)

75.46% (

-1.51)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

1.04)

27.2% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39% (

1.34)

62.61% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Goias 27.17%

Fluminense 44.68%

Draw 28.16%

Goias	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.54% Total : 27.17%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 13.71% ( -0.69) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.68%