MX23RW : Monday, November 25 14:59:05| >> :600:2442561:2442561:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Flamengo

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 4
Flamengo


Gomez (54'), de los Santos (68'), Seoane (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pedro (32', 61', 83'), Ribeiro (45+1')
Barbosa (34'), Maia (67'), Luiz (74'), Pereira (84'), Pulgar (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Flamengo

Last Six:
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 28 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Flamengo

 Experience plays a major role in games of this magnitude and Flamingo boast the more experienced crop of players at this level. We are backing the away side to fend off the threat of their hosts and secure a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawFlamengo
17.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 25.07% (-0.02 -0.02) 56.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 42.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)58.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)78.79% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.56% (-0.106 -0.11)46.44% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)82.06% (0.080000000000013 0.08)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.027999999999992 0.03)20.42% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (0.044000000000004 0.04)52.86% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 17.97%
    Flamengo 56.94%
    Draw 25.07%
Velez SarsfieldDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 17.97%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 15.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.34% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 56.94%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Flamengo

Velez Sarsfield
19.4%
Draw
19.4%
Flamengo
61.3%
31
Head to Head
May 28, 2021 1am
Flamengo
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Gerson (21'), Henrique (32'), Caio (82')

Ortega (57'), Caseres (86')
Ortega (90+5')
Apr 21, 2021 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
2-3
Flamengo
Janson (21', 54')
Caseres (27'), Martin Lucero (35'), Hoyos (60'), Almada (66'), Galdames (85')
Mancuello (86')
Arao (43'), Barbosa (62' pen.), De Arrascaeta (80')
Henrique (46'), Alves (55'), Batista de Souza (73'), Henrique (83'), Diego (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!