Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Coritiba
63.5% ( -0.14)	20.3% ( 0.07)	16.2% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58% (

-0.18)

42% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59% (

-0.18)

64.4% (

0.19)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.42% (

-0.09)

12.58% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.34% (

-0.2)

38.65% (

0.21)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

-0.02)

39.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

-0.02)

75.74% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 63.48%

Coritiba 16.2%

Draw 20.3%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Coritiba
2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 63.48%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.3%	0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.2%