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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds

Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Firpo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Leeds United

With both sides facing one of their toughest tests yet in the Championship, we anticipate a tight encounter at The Den on Wednesday. While Leeds United have more quality in their ranks, Millwall may have enough to come away with a result with confidence growing in the camp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
24.79% (-0.265 -0.27) 27.45% (-0.177 -0.18) 47.76% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.42299999999999 0.42)59.87% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (0.322 0.32)80.14% (-0.324 -0.32)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.87%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.405 0.41)25.17% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (0.556 0.56)59.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 24.79%
    Leeds United 47.76%
    Draw 27.44%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.76%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Leeds United
51.6%
93
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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