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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds

Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Firpo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Leeds United

With both sides facing one of their toughest tests yet in the Championship, we anticipate a tight encounter at The Den on Wednesday. While Leeds United have more quality in their ranks, Millwall may have enough to come away with a result with confidence growing in the camp. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
24.79% (-0.265 -0.27) 27.45% (-0.177 -0.18) 47.76% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.42299999999999 0.42)59.87% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (0.322 0.32)80.14% (-0.324 -0.32)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.87%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.405 0.41)25.17% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (0.556 0.56)59.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 24.79%
    Leeds United 47.76%
    Draw 27.44%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.76%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Leeds United
51.6%
93
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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