Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
24.79% ( -0.27) | 27.45% ( -0.18) | 47.76% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 44.72% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.12% ( 0.42) | 59.87% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.86% ( 0.32) | 80.14% ( -0.32) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.76% ( -0) | 40.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.13% ( -0) | 76.87% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( 0.41) | 25.17% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% ( 0.56) | 59.9% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |