Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall1 - 0Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Burnley
This could prove to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend, Millwall having shown that they could emerge as surprise promotion contenders through the playoffs. However, Burnley are difficult to beat regardless of whether they are playing home or away, and we are backing the Clarets to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
44.89% ( -0.35) | 27.66% ( 0.2) | 27.45% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( -0.64) | 59.09% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( -0.5) | 79.54% ( 0.5) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.47) | 26.24% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.64) | 61.34% ( 0.64) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.23) | 37.48% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.74% ( -0.23) | 74.26% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 44.89%
Burnley 27.45%
Draw 27.65%
| Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.45% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley
Millwall
24.8%Draw
30.5%Burnley
44.8%105
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
