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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Cullen (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Everything points to this contest being a low-scoring affair, unless Swansea finally find their shooting boots. We feel obliged to back a share of the spoils, one that will not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
48.25%27.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.38% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (0.026 0.03)80.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.01% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)77.57% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.25%
    Millwall 24.26%
    Draw 27.49%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
35.4%
Draw
47.9%
Millwall
16.7%
48
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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