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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Cullen (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Everything points to this contest being a low-scoring affair, unless Swansea finally find their shooting boots. We feel obliged to back a share of the spoils, one that will not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
48.25%27.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.38% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (0.026 0.03)80.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.01% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)77.57% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.25%
    Millwall 24.26%
    Draw 27.49%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
Draw
Millwall
Swansea City
35.4%
Draw
47.9%
Millwall
16.7%
48
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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