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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Millwall |
48.25% | 27.49% ( -0.01) | 24.26% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.62% ( 0.03) | 60.38% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.47% ( 0.03) | 80.52% ( -0.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( 0.02) | 25.17% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( 0.02) | 59.89% ( -0.02) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.98% ( 0.03) | 41.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.43% ( 0.02) | 77.57% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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