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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Cullen (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (90+1')
Wintle (40'), Esse (42'), Tanganga (89'), Ivanovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Everything points to this contest being a low-scoring affair, unless Swansea finally find their shooting boots. We feel obliged to back a share of the spoils, one that will not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
48.25%27.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.38% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (0.026 0.03)80.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.89% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.01% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)77.57% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.25%
    Millwall 24.26%
    Draw 27.49%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
35.4%
Draw
47.9%
Millwall
16.7%
48
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
Millwall

Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Millwall
0-3
Swansea

Cooper (22'), Longman (45+3')
Lowe (23' pen.), Grimes (57'), Kukharevych (79')
Rushworth (66'), Cabango (73')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
2-1
Swansea
Bradshaw (48'), Voglsammer (55')
Manning (58')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swansea
2-2
Millwall
Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
0-1
Swansea

Ballard (82')
Piroe (46')
Grimes (22'), Latibeaudiere (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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