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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Ng (39')
Chambers (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Preston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Millwall

Despite Riza's affirmations that he saw some encouraging stuff from Cardiff in their loss to Hull, the Bluebirds' defensive deficiencies are there to be exposed by a Millwall side on cloud nine. While we still have faith in Cardiff to end their barren scoreless streak on home soil, we also anticipate Harris's troops having enough in the attacking tank to earn their first away win of the league season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
30.78% (0.198 0.2) 27.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 41.87% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)56.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (0.13300000000001 0.13)33.56% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.146 0.15)70.21% (-0.149 -0.15)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)26.68% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.171 -0.17)61.93% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 30.78%
    Millwall 41.87%
    Draw 27.34%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.78%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
29.5%
Draw
14.1%
Millwall
56.4%
78
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
3-1
Cardiff
Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
Meite (24')
Collins (69')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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