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Championship header 2

Championship
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Derby
1 - 0
Cardiff

Goudmijn (28')
Adams (20'), Mendez-Laing (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bagan (56'), Fish (61'), Ralls (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 2-1 Cardiff City

 With Cardiff's only point having come on their travels, they will feel that they have the capabilities of ending their dismal run here. However, Derby appear to be growing in confidence and that could prove decisive if the game is close at the business end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCardiff City
47.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 26.01% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 26.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)53.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)75.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.49% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)56.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (0.004999999999999 0)72.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.93%
    Cardiff City 26.07%
    Draw 26.01%
Derby CountyDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Derby vs Cardiff

Derby County
71.4%
Draw
12.7%
Cardiff City
15.9%
63
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Derby
0-1
Cardiff

Thompson (73')
Hugill (55')
Ng (69'), Harris (81')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cardiff
1-0
Derby
Ikpeazu (85')
Davies (26'), Doughty (90+2')

Buchanan (52'), Davies (62'), Bird (80'), Ebosele (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Cardiff
4-0
Derby
Bacuna (22', 56'), Moore (48'), Vaulks (90+3')
> Match Report
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
1-1
Cardiff
Waghorn (24')
Jozwiak (82'), Shinnie (86'), te Wierik (90')
Moore (77')
Morrison (82'), Ojo (90+1'), Bacuna (90+3')
> Match Report
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
2-1
Derby
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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