Championship | Gameweek 34
Mar 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff4 - 0Derby
The Match
Match Report
Cardiff have taken 24 points from Mick McCarthy's 10 games in charge.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Derby County |
| 43.21% | 27.55% | 29.23% |
| Both teams to score 47.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.05% | 57.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.35% | 78.65% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% | 26.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.2% | 61.79% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% | 35.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.81% | 72.19% |
| Score Analysis |
Cardiff City 43.2%
Derby County 29.23%
Draw 27.55%
| Cardiff City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.23% |
How you voted: Cardiff vs Derby
Cardiff City
82.7%Draw
10.5%Derby County
6.8%133
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
2-1
Derby
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Derby
1-1
Cardiff
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
