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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
37.35% | 29.76% | 32.88% |
Both teams to score 42.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.53% | 64.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.49% | 83.51% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% | 33.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% | 69.79% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.78% | 36.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% | 73% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |