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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Bristol City |
37.96% | 27.74% | 34.31% |
Both teams to score 48.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% | 57.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% | 78.18% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% | 29.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% | 65.17% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% | 31.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% | 67.89% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |