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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Bournemouth |
24.87% | 27.06% | 48.08% |
Both teams to score 45.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.51% | 58.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.93% | 79.08% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% | 39.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.92% | 76.08% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% | 24.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% | 58.83% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 13.55% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-3 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |