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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 29, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Derby logo

Birmingham
0 - 4
Derby

FT(HT: 0-3)
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')

The Match

Match Report

Three goals in 10 first-half minutes did the damage at St Andrew's, with Jason Knight scoring late on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
32.22%29.48%38.31%
Both teams to score 43.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.36%63.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.07%82.93%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35%68.65%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.22%
    Derby County 38.3%
    Draw 29.47%
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 13.22%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham City
44.7%
Draw
24.5%
Derby County
30.9%
94
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Derby
3-1
Birmingham
Bennett (53'), Wilson (55'), Marriott (73')
Jutkiewicz (10')
Camp (51'), Gardner (65'), Morrison (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Derby
Russell (19'), Vydra (56'), Weimann (89')
Davies (33'), Russell (73'), Weimann (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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