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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Rotherham United |
35.04% | 27.85% | 37.1% |
Both teams to score 48.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.27% | 57.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.53% | 78.47% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% | 31.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.45% | 67.55% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% | 29.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% | 66.02% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |