Championship | Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 1Rotherham
The Match
Match Report
Jamie Lindsay scored the only goal of a cagey game.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 35.04% | 27.85% | 37.1% |
| Both teams to score 48.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% | 57.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% | 78.47% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% | 31.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.45% | 67.55% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% | 29.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.98% | 66.02% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 35.04%
Rotherham United 37.1%
Draw 27.85%
| Derby County | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.1% |
How you voted: Derby vs Rotherham
Derby County
64.0%Draw
16.0%Rotherham United
20.0%25
Head to Head
May 7, 2017 12pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
