Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.