Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 1Preston
The Match
Match Report
A draw would have lifted Derby out of the Championship relegation zone.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
| 36.65% | 28.11% | 35.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.78% | 79.22% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% | 30.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.08% | 66.92% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.04% | 67.96% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 36.64%
Preston North End 35.24%
Draw 28.11%
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.24% |
How you voted: Derby vs Preston
Derby County
60.0%Draw
23.5%Preston North End
16.5%85
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 6.30pm
Second Round
Derby
1-2
Preston
Jul 1, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 40
Preston
0-1
Derby
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Feb 1, 2019 7.45pm
