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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Coventry City |
37.49% | 27.21% | 35.3% |
Both teams to score 50.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.77% | 55.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.54% | 76.46% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% | 28.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.76% | 64.23% |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% | 29.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% | 65.87% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |