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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Derby logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Derby

Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')

The Match

Match Report

Boro recorded their biggest victory under boss Neil Warnock.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
42.78%27.21%30.02%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87%61.13%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.77%
    Derby County 30.02%
    Draw 27.2%
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lawrence (22', 84')

McNair (15')
Saville (32')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Derby
1-1
Middlesbrough
Wilson (2')
Hugill (52')
Saville (45'), Besic (73')
Oct 27, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-1
Derby
Bogle (84' og.)
Ayala (90')
Friend (19' og.)
Waghorn (33')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-2
Middlesbrough
Nugent (90' pen.)
Nugent (16'), Huddlestone (36'), Hanson (85')
Besic (20'), Assombalonga (70')
Clayton (1'), Traore (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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