Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough3 - 0Derby
The Match
Match Report
Boro recorded their biggest victory under boss Neil Warnock.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Derby County |
| 42.78% | 27.21% | 30.02% |
| Both teams to score 48.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% | 56.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% | 77.39% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% | 26.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.87% | 61.13% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% | 33.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% | 70.67% |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 42.77%
Derby County 30.02%
Draw 27.2%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.02% |
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Middlesbrough
2-2
Derby
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Oct 27, 2018 12.30pm
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
