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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Derby logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Derby

Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')

The Match

Match Report

Boro recorded their biggest victory under boss Neil Warnock.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
42.78%27.21%30.02%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92%26.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87%61.13%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.77%
    Derby County 30.02%
    Draw 27.2%
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lawrence (22', 84')

McNair (15')
Saville (32')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Derby
1-1
Middlesbrough
Wilson (2')
Hugill (52')
Saville (45'), Besic (73')
Oct 27, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-1
Derby
Bogle (84' og.)
Ayala (90')
Friend (19' og.)
Waghorn (33')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-2
Middlesbrough
Nugent (90' pen.)
Nugent (16'), Huddlestone (36'), Hanson (85')
Besic (20'), Assombalonga (70')
Clayton (1'), Traore (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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