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Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Derby logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Derby

Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waghorn (30')

The Match

Match Report

Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
44.53%26.35%29.12%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9%58.1%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27%69.73%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.53%
    Derby County 29.12%
    Draw 26.34%
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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