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Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Derby logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Derby

Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waghorn (30')

The Match

Match Report

Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
44.53%26.35%29.12%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9%58.1%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27%69.73%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.53%
    Derby County 29.12%
    Draw 26.34%
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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