Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.