Championship

Championship | Gameweek 2

Sep 19, 2020 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 1
Derby

Berry (34'), Clark (87')
Norrington-Davies (22'), Ruddock (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marriott (52')

Phillip Cocu admits pressure is already on after latest Derby defeat

County have yet to win a point this season.

Sep 19, 19:23

The Match

Match Report

The Hatters have won all four of their matches in all competitions this term.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Luton Town and Derby County, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Derby County
32.83%	25.91%	41.25%

Both teams to score 53.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67%

50.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73%

72.27%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15%

64.84%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86%

24.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55%

58.45%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 32.83%

Derby County 41.26%

Draw 25.91%

Luton Town	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.83%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.26%