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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%).
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Derby County |
39.91% | 25.2% | 34.89% |
Both teams to score 56.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% | 46.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% | 69.05% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% | 23.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.82% | 57.18% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% | 25.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39% | 60.99% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |