Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.