Leyton Orient3 - 0Crawley
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
for
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
for
We said: Leyton Orient 2-1 Crawley Town
With both teams having been in relatively good form of late, this should prove to be a competitive encounter. However, with an unbeaten run and longer recovery period in their favour, we have to back Orient to come through this game, potentially during the closing stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.1% ( -0.13) | 22.93% ( 0) | 20.98% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 0.14) | 46.16% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 0.13) | 68.46% ( -0.14) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0) | 16.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.18% ( 0.01) | 45.81% ( -0.01) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( 0.2) | 36.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.06% ( 0.21) | 72.94% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.98% |
