Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.