EFL Trophy | Second Round

Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Roles (56'), Forster (69')
Johnson (44'), Forster (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomas (45')
Thomas (30'), Evans (50'), Taylor (76')
Gibbons (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
39.17% ( 0)	23.28% ( 0.01)	37.55% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 64.26% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.74% (

-0.06)

37.25% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.54% (

-0.06)

59.46% (

0.06)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.54% (

-0.02)

19.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.69% (

-0.04)

51.31% (

0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

-0.03)

20.22% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

-0.05)

52.53% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 39.17%

Bristol Rovers 37.55%

Draw 23.27%

Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.33% Total : 39.17%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.55%