MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 02:16:00| >> :600:467939:467939:
Crawley Town
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Crawley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Roles (56'), Forster (69')
Johnson (44'), Forster (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (45')
Thomas (30'), Evans (50'), Taylor (76')
Gibbons (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
39.17% (0.0010000000000048 0) 23.28% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 37.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.74% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)37.25% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (-0.061 -0.06)59.46% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)19.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)51.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.22% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)52.53% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.17%
    Bristol Rovers 37.55%
    Draw 23.27%
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.55%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bristol Rovers

Crawley Town
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bristol Rovers
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Crawley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Nichols (74')

Evans (45+1'), Loft (89')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
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1-2
Bristol Rovers
Hessenthaler (69')
Craig (13'), Payne (45'), Tsaroulla (89')
Anderson (41'), Collins (65')
Hoole (72')
> Preview
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Crawley
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Tsaroulla (67')
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Bennett (32'), Clarke (84')
Payne (56'), Clarke (67'), Smith (94')
Connolly (88')
Randall (40'), Poleon (85')
Poleon (94')
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First Round
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4-2
Crawley
Taylor (34', 102' pen.), Gaffney (52', 96')
Roberts (45'), Harold (65')
Garnett (80'), Collins (114')
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