EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley3 - 2Aston Villa U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crawley Town and Aston Villa Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
56.36% ( 0.34) | 19.8% ( 0.06) | 23.83% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 68.87% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
