League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 1
Crawley

Morton (26', 45+2')
Dabo (4'), Maddox (67'), Welch (69'), Moore-Taylor (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Darcy (6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Barrow
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crawley
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
37.83% ( -0.08)	24.82% ( -0.01)	37.35% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 58.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.21% (

0.04)

44.79% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.85% (

0.04)

67.15% (

-0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

-0.02)

23.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

-0.04)

57.43% (

0.04)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

0.06)

23.68% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

0.09)

57.79% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 37.83%

Crawley Town 37.35%

Draw 24.81%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.83%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81%	1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.35%