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Walsall
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crawley Town

Forest Green
2 - 1
Crawley

Morton (26', 45+2')
Dabo (4'), Maddox (67'), Welch (69'), Moore-Taylor (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Darcy (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crawley
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
37.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.15% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.43% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.68% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 37.83%
    Crawley Town 37.35%
    Draw 24.81%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
2-1
Forest Green
Nadesan (24'), Tunnicliffe (32')
Craig (30'), Francomb (72'), Powell (77'), Morris (85')
Bernard (80')
Sweeney (90'), Adams (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
6-3
Crawley
Cadden (1', 67', 69'), Stevens (24'), Matt (48'), Young (78')
Adams (59')
Hessenthaler (14', 30'), Appiah (86')
Craig (27'), Appiah (90')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
0-0
Forest Green
McNerney (49'), Wright (65')
Stokes (56')
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Forest Green
1-2
Crawley
Young (50')
Nichols (16', 79')
Craig (61'), Davies (90+3')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Forest Green
Lubala (45')
Tunnicliffe (63' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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