League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
5 - 0
Colchester

Morton (41'), McAllister (65'), Taylor (77'), Stevens (79', 90+3')
McAllister (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mingi (10'), McGeehan (45+4')
Mingi (47')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Forest Green (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 1-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Colchester United

With Forest Green having a poor home record and Colchester not performing well on the road there is a good chance one team can start to change their fortunes this weekend. Considering the fact both are fighting at the bottom of the division a victory would mean a lot to either club, but it is likely the visitors that will just edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Colchester United
29.06% ( -0.02)	25.32% ( -0)	45.61% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68% (

0.01)

49.31% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

0.01)

71.36% (

-0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

-0.01)

31.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

-0.02)

67.33% (

0.01)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

0.01)

21.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.26% (

0.02)

54.73% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 29.06%

Colchester United 45.61%

Draw 25.32%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.61%