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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Colchester United

Newport
2 - 1
Colchester

Evans (43'), Bogle (63')
Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tovide (34')
Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Newport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 5-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawColchester United
36.72% (-0.724 -0.72) 26.64% (0.156 0.16) 36.64% (0.564 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.11% (-0.503 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (-0.643 -0.64)52.87% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (-0.552 -0.55)74.48% (0.54899999999999 0.55)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.727 -0.73)27.79% (0.724 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (-0.938 -0.94)63.38% (0.935 0.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)27.83% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.033000000000001 0.03)63.43% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.72%
    Colchester United 36.64%
    Draw 26.63%
Newport CountyDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.256 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.64%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Newport
2-0
Colchester
O'Hara (28' og.), Lewis (76')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
1-0
Colchester
Evans (7')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Newport
1-2
Colchester
Telford (40')
Dolan (38'), Lewis (45+2'), Bennett (72')
Akinde (68'), Chilvers (77')
Wiredu (45+2'), Huws (66'), Skuse (89'), George (90')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Colchester
1-1
Newport
Sears (78')
Chilvers (25')
Telford (36')
Clarke (29'), Cooper (74')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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