League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 1
Sutton

Kizzi (70' og.), Charsley (77'), Evans (87')
Bennett (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Patrick (53')
Coley (45+2'), Angol (45+3'), Sowunmi (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Newport
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Sutton United
45.59% ( -0)	26.98%	27.43% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.99% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31%

56.69% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35%

77.65%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

-0)

24.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61% (

-0)

59.39% (

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82% (

36.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.04% (

72.96% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newport County 45.59%

Sutton United 27.43%

Draw 26.98%

Newport County	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.59%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.43%