Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.