League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport4 - 0Doncaster
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Newport County 1-2 Doncaster Rovers
Although Rovers lost their opener, we expect their attacking depth and proven quality will be enough to earn a first domestic triumph in 2023-24 against a Newport side who do not appear to have an abundance of quality. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
48.05% ( 0.1) | 25.69% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% ( -0.12) | 52.53% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( -0.1) | 74.19% ( 0.1) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0) | 21.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0) | 55.11% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -0.16) | 34.9% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.17) | 71.64% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Newport County 48.05%
Doncaster Rovers 26.25%
Draw 25.69%
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.25% |
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Feb 10, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide
