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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
34.37% ( -0.96) | 27.18% ( -0.26) | 38.45% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.79% ( 0.94) | 55.21% ( -0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% ( 0.77) | 76.44% ( -0.76) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.14) | 30.38% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.17) | 66.57% ( 0.17) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( 1.17) | 27.9% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( 1.47) | 63.52% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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