League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster1 - 3Newport
FT(HT: 1-0)
Farquharson (64'), Wildig (71'), Norman (79')
Lewis (17'), Norman (30'), Moriah-Welsh (50'), Evans (60')
Lewis (17'), Norman (30'), Moriah-Welsh (50'), Evans (60')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
31.57% ( 0.01) | 27.72% ( 0.01) | 40.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( -0.03) | 57.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( -0.02) | 78.52% ( 0.02) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.01) | 33.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.76% ( -0.01) | 70.24% ( 0.01) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.02) | 27.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.55% ( -0.03) | 63.45% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers 31.56%
Newport County 40.71%
Draw 27.71%
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.71% |
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Feb 10, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide
