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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
46.55% ( -0.06) | 27.38% ( 0.02) | 26.06% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.11% ( -0.03) | 58.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.62% ( -0.02) | 79.38% ( 0.02) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.68% ( -0.04) | 25.31% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.91% ( -0.06) | 60.09% ( 0.06) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( 0.02) | 38.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.71% ( 0.02) | 75.29% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |