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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
0 - 1
Stockport


Morris (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Brynn (60'), Williams (62')
Wakeling (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Croasdale (80')
Rydel (45+4'), Lewis (48'), Knoyle (49'), Lemonheigh-Evans (64'), Wootton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County

Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets. However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
37.34%25.49%37.17%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.34%
    Stockport County 37.17%
    Draw 25.49%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.95%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Stockport County
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')

Khan (1')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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