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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
49.72% ( 0.52) | 24.8% ( -0.1) | 25.48% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.51% ( 0.09) | 49.48% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( 0.08) | 71.52% ( -0.08) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( 0.25) | 19.92% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.41) | 52.06% ( -0.41) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( -0.3) | 33.91% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( -0.32) | 70.58% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |