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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Salford City |
49.43% | 24.9% | 25.66% |
Both teams to score 52.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.23% | 49.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.22% | 71.77% |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% | 20.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.56% | 52.43% |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% | 33.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% | 70.58% |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.43% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |