League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Crewe

Reid (79')
Reeves (52'), Rose (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 3-1 Crewe Alexandra

Stevenage are the more likely side to dominate large proportions of this match and will attempt to dictate play inside their opponents' half. We believe that this game will be littered with goals due to both sides' recent record of goals conceded, but Stevenage will score more than their opponents due to being the superior attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
68.93% ( 4.63)	19.67% ( -1.84)	11.4% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

-2.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34% (

1.28)

49.66% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32% (

1.13)

71.68% (

-1.13)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.66% (

1.83)

13.33% (

-1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.8% (

3.58)

40.2% (

-3.58)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.97% (

-3.8)

51.02% (

3.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.64% (

-2.7)

85.35% (

2.7)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 68.93%

Crewe Alexandra 11.4%

Draw 19.67%

Stevenage	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.81% ( 1.07) 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 1.27) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.9) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 68.93%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.91) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.67%	0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.4%