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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
37.78% (![]() | 28.02% (![]() | 34.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.6% (![]() | 58.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.99% (![]() | 79.01% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% (![]() | 29.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% (![]() | 65.93% (![]() |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% (![]() | 32.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% (![]() | 68.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.58% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 13.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |