League Two

League Two | Gameweek 25

Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 2
Crawley

Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Lewis (30')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Telford (36', 67' pen.)
Telford (72'), Davis (85'), Francillette (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 1-0 Crawley Town

It is difficult to ignore Crawley's recent struggles when picking a result in this contest. Newport are without a victory in their last three, but they were impressive against Orient last time out, and we believe that home advantage will allow Coughlan's side to secure an important three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
56.09% ( 0.02)	23.59% ( -0.04)	20.32% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.38% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

0.2)

49.75% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

0.18)

71.76% (

-0.18)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

0.08)

17.56% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

0.14)

48.11% (

-0.14)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12% (

0.14)

38.88% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39% (

0.13)

75.61% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Newport County 56.08%

Crawley Town 20.32%

Draw 23.59%

Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.08%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.59%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.32%