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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
2 - 2
Crawley

Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Lewis (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Telford (36', 67' pen.)
Telford (72'), Davis (85'), Francillette (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-0 Crawley Town

 It is difficult to ignore Crawley's recent struggles when picking a result in this contest. Newport are without a victory in their last three, but they were impressive against Orient last time out, and we believe that home advantage will allow Coughlan's side to secure an important three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
56.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.59% (-0.044 -0.04) 20.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.201 0.2)49.75% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.18 0.18)71.76% (-0.182 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.079000000000008 0.08)17.56% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (0.138 0.14)48.11% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39% (0.133 0.13)75.61% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 56.08%
    Crawley Town 20.32%
    Draw 23.59%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.08%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.32%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Crawley Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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