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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
2 - 2
Crawley

Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Lewis (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Telford (36', 67' pen.)
Telford (72'), Davis (85'), Francillette (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-0 Crawley Town

 It is difficult to ignore Crawley's recent struggles when picking a result in this contest. Newport are without a victory in their last three, but they were impressive against Orient last time out, and we believe that home advantage will allow Coughlan's side to secure an important three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
56.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.59% (-0.044 -0.04) 20.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (0.165 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.201 0.2)49.75% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.18 0.18)71.76% (-0.182 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.079000000000008 0.08)17.56% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (0.138 0.14)48.11% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39% (0.133 0.13)75.61% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 56.08%
    Crawley Town 20.32%
    Draw 23.59%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.08%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.32%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Crawley Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
Allarakhia (59')
Haynes (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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