League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 0
Swindon

Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
Lynch (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reed (32')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Swindon Town

In a match that could hold significance at both ends of the table, we expect an open affair between two sides with a point to prove this weekend. Crawley will put in an improved display on recent showings, however, it will not be enough to prevent Swindon from claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Swindon Town
30.74% ( -0.52)	25.3% ( 0.15)	43.96% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

-0.87)

48.41% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

-0.8)

70.55% (

0.8)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

-0.79)

29.38% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.63% (

-0.97)

65.37% (

0.97)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.19)

21.99% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

-0.29)

55.3% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 30.74%

Swindon Town 43.96%

Draw 25.29%

Crawley Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96%