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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Gillingham

Crawley
0 - 0
Gillingham

FT

Ehmer (18'), Gbode (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Gillingham

Crawley have been in good form since Young replaced Betsy in their managerial dugout last month, and we can envisage their winning home run continuing on Tuesday. Gillingham have lost four league matches in a row without scoring in any of them, and while the latter could end against the division's second weakest defence, the former streak may continue a little longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
45.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.44% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.84%
    Gillingham 27.56%
    Draw 26.59%
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Crawley vs Gillingham

Crawley Town
74.3%
Draw
8.6%
Gillingham
17.1%
35
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (21' pen.)
Edwards (29'), Walsh (51'), Tomlin (58'), McLeod (65')
McGlashan (68'), Loft (87')
Dickenson (78')
Martin (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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