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Gillingham
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
2 - 1
Crawley

Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
50.82%24.87%24.31%
Both teams to score 51.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25%50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35%72.64%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03%19.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86%52.14%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4%35.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63%72.36%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 50.82%
    Crawley Town 24.31%
    Draw 24.86%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.22%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.82%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 24.31%

Head to Head
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (21' pen.)
Edwards (29'), Walsh (51'), Tomlin (58'), McLeod (65')
McGlashan (68'), Loft (87')
Dickenson (78')
Martin (64')
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Mar 8, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
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