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FA Cup
Gillingham
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
AFC Fylde

Gillingham
1 - 0
Fylde

Walker (43')
Williams (2'), Baggott (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whitmore (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Fylde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Fylde

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

We said: Gillingham 2-1 Fylde

 With Fylde developing a knack for scoring away from home and Gillingham unable to keep the back door shut in recent weeks, the travelling fans can expect to see their side make the net ripple at least once. However, injury concerns arising from the weekend could prove to be the visitors' downfall, and the Gills should avoid falling victim to another giant killing and qualify for round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gillingham.

Result
GillinghamDrawFylde
44.95% (0.168 0.17) 24.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 30.32% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03)46.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.44% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.087000000000003 0.09)20.6% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.137 0.14)53.15% (-0.135 -0.13)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)28.54% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)64.32% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 44.95%
    Fylde 30.32%
    Draw 24.73%
GillinghamDrawFylde
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Fylde

Gillingham
76.4%
Draw
10.9%
Fylde
12.7%
55
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Fylde
1-1
Gillingham
Walker (83')
Mandron (45+3')
O'Keefe (5')
rhs 2.0
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