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National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
AFC Fylde

Hereford
2 - 1
Fylde

Barnett (24' pen., 75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whitehead (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawFylde
37.08% (4.838 4.84) 26.95% (-0.523 -0.52) 35.97% (-4.315 -4.32)
Both teams to score 51.08% (2.229 2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (2.53 2.53)54.16% (-2.531 -2.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (2.075 2.08)75.57% (-2.075 -2.08)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (4.359 4.36)28.19% (-4.36 -4.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (5.198 5.2)63.89% (-5.197 -5.2)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-1.292 -1.29)28.86% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-1.636 -1.64)64.73% (1.636 1.64)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 37.08%
    Fylde 35.96%
    Draw 26.95%
Hereford UnitedDrawFylde
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.822 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.87 0.87)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.696 0.7)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.37 0.37)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.318 0.32)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.838 -0.84)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-1.45 -1.45)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.406 -0.41)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-1.167 -1.17)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.597 -0.6)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Fylde
2-1
Hereford
James-Taylor (10'), Osborne (90+6')
Owen-Evans (33')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hereford
1-4
Fylde
Storey (75')
Haughton (3', 44'), Piggott (47'), Dobbie (77')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Fylde
0-0
Hereford
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Hereford
2-1
Fylde
John-Lewis (37', 59')
Perkins (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chester FCChester30177648291958
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe29159550232754
3Brackley Town29164943301352
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster27155742212150
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton27155738201850
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn3014883731650
7Chorley28139640301048
8Hereford UnitedHereford29138840301047
9Buxton29152124739847
10Darlington28111073327643
11Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports30118113635141
12Alfreton TownAlfreton28117103836240
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor28911845351038
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath30910114341237
15South Shields28114134342137
16SouthportSouthport2999113240-836
17Oxford CityOxford City2889113847-933
18Leamington FCLeamington2795133435-132
19RadcliffeRadcliffe2768133250-1826
20Rushall Olympic3075182959-3026
21Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic3075182858-3026
22Warrington Town29510142339-1625
23Marine AFC2967162140-1925
24Needham Market2967162447-2325
> National League North Full Table


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