League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 2
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hoskins (27'), Bowie (72')
McGowan (58'), Hoskins (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Gillingham (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.05pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Northampton Town
30.99% ( 0.01)	28.48% ( -0.01)	40.53% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.58% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

0.02)

60.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

0.02)

80.7% (

-0.02)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

0.02)

35.52% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

0.02)

72.29% (

-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.01)

29.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.01)

65.28% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 30.98%

Northampton Town 40.52%

Draw 28.47%

Gillingham	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.98%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.47%	0-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.55% Total : 40.52%