EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
1 - 3
Arsenal U21s

Tomlinson (8')
Fox (36'), (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Awe (56'), Cozier-Duberry (74'), Butler-Oyedeji (90+5')
Ibrahim (35'), Henry-Francis (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Northampton Town and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Spurs U21s 0-0 Arsenal U21s
Saturday, October 8 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
42.22% ( 0.01)	24.6% ( -0)	33.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

44.41% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22% (

66.78% (

-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

21.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06% (

0.01)

53.94% (

-0.01)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-0)

25.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16% (

-0)

60.83%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 42.22%

Arsenal Under-21s 33.18%

Draw 24.59%

Northampton Town	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.18%