Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.