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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
31.66% | 28.47% | 39.87% |
Both teams to score 45.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.43% | 80.57% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.06% | 34.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.32% | 71.68% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.16% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 12.59% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |