Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Atangana (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')

Data Analysis

Probe launched into potential "discriminatory comment" at Exeter City's clash with Northampton Town

The alleged remark was reported to the referee, who spoke to a player from each team and both managers.

Dec 9, 11:45

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
53.29%	23.31%	23.41%

Both teams to score 55.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98%

45.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63%

67.37%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15%

16.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.14%

46.86%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75%

33.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13%

69.87%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 53.29%

Northampton Town 23.41%

Draw 23.3%

Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.29%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.41%